Tracking the US Presidential Race: Latest Poll Averages and Analysis

The 2024 US presidential race took a dramatic turn on July 21st when Joe Biden unexpectedly dropped out of the race and threw his support behind Kamala Harris. This historic move reshaped the election landscape and energized the Democratic base. As the race enters its final weeks, Guardian US is tracking the latest polling data to see how the two candidates are faring.

For months, Biden had been trailing Donald Trump in national polls by a narrow margin. However, after a disastrous debate performance in late July, Biden made the surprising decision to step aside and endorse Harris. This move galvanized Democrats across the country, leading to a surge in support for the new nominee. The momentum continued to build as Republican vice-presidential nominee JD Vance struggled on the campaign trail, further boosting the Democrats’ standing in the polls.

By August, Harris began polling above Trump for the first time in the race, signaling a significant shift in voter sentiment. With the Democratic National Convention officially naming Harris as the nominee, next week’s polls are expected to show even stronger numbers for the Democrats. However, the election is still weeks away, leaving room for more debates and potential game-changing moments.

Guardian US’s polling averages provide a snapshot of where the race stands at a given moment, but they are subject to change as the election draws closer. It’s important to note that the election is ultimately decided by the electoral college, so these averages should not be viewed as a definitive prediction of the outcome in November. Stay tuned for the latest updates on the US presidential race as the candidates continue to vie for the White House.